Looking behind the curtain of CDC’s Ensemble Forest model for forecasting deaths from Covid-19
Category: model risk
predictive performance of the covid-19 Models
What is the error in the estimates of the popular Covid-19 models and what can we conclude from that insight?
The Signal and the Noise
Insights from ‘The Signal and the Noise’ by Nate Silver – on overfitting models, confidence of forecasters and challenges of economic forecasting and biases in prediction.
Coronavirus projection models
The impact of Covid-19 on our lives has been profound and unprecedented both socially and economically. As more countries implement implement social distancing, now a
Review of the 2019 World Economic Forum report on ‘Responsible Innovation with AI in Financial Services’
A summary of the 2019 World Economic Forum report on key obstacles preventing AI from being fully adopted and transforming the financial sector.
ML Implementation – lessons from Booking.com
Business lessons learnt by the data scientists at Booking.com after deploying 150 Machine Learning (ML) models. These observations are insightful and offer a practitioner view regarding implementation of ML models for business purpose and some are even non-intuitive.
Random Thoughts... 